📅 28 February 2021
DOI: 10.35671/telematika.v14i1.1191
Local Sensitivity Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemic with Quarantine and Isolation using Normalized Index
Telematika
Universitas Amikom Purwokerto
📄 Abstract
This study discusses the sensitivity analysis of parameters, namely the COVID-19 model, by dividing the population into seven subpopulations: susceptible, exposed, symptomatic infection, asymptomatic infection, quarantine, isolation, and recovered. The solution to the ordinary differential equation for the COVID-19 model using the fourth-order Runge-Kutta numerical method explains that COVID-19 is endemic, as evidenced by the basic reproduction number (R0) of 7.5. It means 1 individual can infect 7 to 8 individuals. Then is calculated using the next-generation matrix method. Based on the value of R0, a parameter sensitivity analysis is implemented to specify the most influential parameters in the spread of the COVID-19 outbreak. This can provide input on the selection of appropriate control measures to solve the epidemic from COVID-19. The results of the sensitivity analysis are the parameters that have the most influence on the model.
🔖 Keywords
#COVID-19; COVID-19 model; Runge-Kutta fourth-order; Next-generation matrix; Sensitivity analysis
ℹ️ Informasi Publikasi
Tanggal Publikasi
28 February 2021
Volume / Nomor / Tahun
Volume 14, Nomor 1, Tahun 2021
📝 HOW TO CITE
Rois, Muhammad Abdurrahman; Brawijaya University; Trisilowati, Trisilowati; Brawijaya University; Habibah, Ummu; Brawijaya University; , "Local Sensitivity Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemic with Quarantine and Isolation using Normalized Index," Telematika, vol. 14, no. 1, Feb. 2021.
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